We Built a Retirement Age Map of America From 401(k) Balances

https://staging.axiomaticdata.com/blogPosts/we-built-a-retirement-age-map-of-america-from-401-k-balances

Where a plan's money sits on the glide path is a measure of its workforce.

Where a plan's money sits on the glide path is a measure of its workforce. For each plan, we compute the asset-weighted average target-date vintage: a plan concentrated in 2030 funds has a workforce much closer to retirement than one concentrated in 2055. Rolled up by state, the result is a demographic map derived entirely from fund balances.

The oldest and youngest states

Oldest (earliest average vintage) Average vintage Youngest (latest average vintage) Average vintage
Vermont 2037.2 Washington 2044.0
Mississippi 2037.9 California 2042.5
Hawaii 2038.3 North Dakota 2041.6
Alaska 2038.3 Oklahoma 2041.5
New Hampshire 2038.5 Utah 2041.4
Rhode Island 2038.9 Nebraska 2041.3

States with at least 60 plans holding target-date funds.

How well it tracks

Several results line up with Census age data, though no demographic data entered the calculation. Vermont and New Hampshire, which this measure puts among the oldest, are among the oldest states by median age; Utah, among the youngest here, is the youngest by Census.

What it actually measures

The map reflects where plan sponsors are headquartered, not where every employee lives. Washington and California rank youngest partly because large technology employers with young workforces file from there. The measure also reflects people who save in target-date funds, so plans that default participants into another investment count less.

Why it matters

The same calculation works for a single plan. A plan's average vintage is a quick read on how close its participants are to retirement, which shapes its likely interest in retirement income options, its future outflows, and which products are relevant to it.

About the data

Figures cover 401(k) plans with more than 100 participants that list their holdings on Schedule H of Form 5500, for plan year 2024 (52,763 plans). Dollars are the plans' holdings in mutual funds, collective investment trusts (CITs) and pooled separate accounts on the Schedule of Assets Held.

Every plan, fund and manager behind these numbers is in Axiomatic Plan Intelligence. For more information, email us at info@axiomaticdata.com.

Updated November 2026 with figures from the latest complete plan year (2024). The original LinkedIn post used an earlier version of our data, so some numbers differ.

Originally posted on LinkedIn.